Today's Signal

November 30

Updated: 2 hours ago

No clear favorite yet — November 30 leads at 100% with November 25 close at 100%, signaling a competitive race.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~32 days
Total Volume
$24.0M
24h Change
+$623K
Active Markets
9
⚡

Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
November 30
#1 November 30
100%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Low
November 25
#2 November 25
100%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Low
June 30
June 30✦ Surprise
100%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking monad airdrop by.... Each outcome has its own separate YES/NO market. Traders can position themselves based on their expectations. The outcome will be determined based on official economic data releases and central bank announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on economic data releases, central bank communications, inflation reports, and employment figures. Trading volume of $24.0M shows significant market interest with 23,963 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓this is a market on Monad airdrop
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

How accurate is Polymarket? See how markets compare to polls →

  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

May 1, 2026
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Jun 30, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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No analyst takes yet

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Frequently Asked Questions

November 30 leads at 100%, with November 25 at 100% -- an unusually tight race -- only 0% separates them 32 days out. $24.0M has traded across 23,963 positions with 32 days until resolution.
$24.0M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. Volume tends to accelerate as resolution approaches and traders adjust positions.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. November 30's 100% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 100% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the Monad airdrop by...? event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
November 30100%$2433KView market
November 25100%$1730KView market
December 15100%$1353KView market
June 30100%$1228KView market
December 31100%$1218KView market
October 310%$11024KView market
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Basics

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Guide

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