Today's Signal

Jacob Misiorowski

Updated: 2 hours ago

The market strongly favors Jacob Misiorowski at 76%, with a commanding lead over the field.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~24 days
Total Volume
$3.0M
24h Change
+$78K
Active Markets
28
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
Jacob Misiorowski
#1 Jacob Misiorowski
76%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Low
Jesús Luzardo
#2 Jesús Luzardo
13%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
Kevin Gausman
Kevin Gausman✦ Surprise
1%
Quietly backed
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Medium
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking mlb: strikeouts leader - pitcher. Each team/candidate has their own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on teams they believe will win, or NO on teams they think will lose. The outcome will be determined based on official game results and championship announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on team performance, injuries, playoff standings, odds movements, betting line shifts, and expert analysis. Trading volume of $3.0M shows significant market interest with 2,990 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the most strikeouts among pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records fewer innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records the lower ERA during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

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  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Aug 17, 2026
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Oct 16, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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Frequently Asked Questions

Jacob Misiorowski leads at 76%, with Jesús Luzardo at 13% -- a commanding 63-point lead 24 days out. $3.0M has traded across 2,990 positions with 24 days until resolution.
$3.0M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. With resolution near, traders are locking in final positions based on latest information.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Jacob Misiorowski's 76% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 76% chance of that outcome -- more likely than not. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the MLB: Strikeouts Leader - Pitcher event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Jacob Misiorowski76%$10KView market
Jesús Luzardo13%$3KView market
Dylan Cease7%$2KView market
Cam Schlittler4%$2KView market
Cristopher Sánchez2%$3KView market
Sonny Gray2%$2KView market
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