Today's Signal

Cleveland Guardians

Updated: 2 hours ago

Traders currently favor Cleveland Guardians at 64%, with Tampa Bay Rays trailing.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~46 days
Total Volume
$4.8M
24h Change
+$126K
Active Markets
15
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
Cleveland Guardians
#1 Cleveland Guardians
64%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Medium
Money behind it
Medium
Tampa Bay Rays
#2 Tampa Bay Rays
35%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking mlb: 2026 american league champion. Each team/candidate has their own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on teams they believe will win, or NO on teams they think will lose. The outcome will be determined based on official game results and championship announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on team performance, injuries, playoff standings, odds movements, betting line shifts, and expert analysis. Trading volume of $4.8M shows significant market interest with 4,849 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball https://www.mlb.com/; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

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  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Oct 2, 2026
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Dec 1, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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Frequently Asked Questions

Cleveland Guardians leads at 64%, with Tampa Bay Rays at 35% -- a commanding 29-point lead 46 days out. $4.8M has traded across 4,849 positions with 46 days until resolution.
$4.8M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. Volume tends to accelerate as resolution approaches and traders adjust positions.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Cleveland Guardians's 64% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 64% chance of that outcome -- more likely than not. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the MLB: 2026 American League Champion event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Cleveland Guardians64%$888KView market
Tampa Bay Rays35%$544KView market
Kansas City Royals0%$856KView market
Houston Astros0%$803KView market
Chicago White Sox0%$352KView market
Los Angeles Angels0%$327KView market
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