Today's Signal

New York Yankees

Updated: 15h ago

No clear favorite yet-New York Yankees leads at 20% with Seattle Mariners close at 17%, signaling a competitive race.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~200 days
Total Volume
$3.4M
24h Change
+$88K
Active Markets
15
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
New York Yankees
#1 New York Yankees
20%
Limited activity
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
Seattle Mariners
#2 Seattle Mariners
17%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
Houston Astros
Houston Astros✦ Surprise
7%
Limited activity
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking mlb: 2026 american league champion. Each team/candidate has their own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on teams they believe will win, or NO on teams they think will lose. The outcome will be determined based on official game results and championship announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on team performance, injuries, playoff standings, odds movements, betting line shifts, and expert analysis. Trading volume of $3.4M shows significant market interest with 40 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball https://www.mlb.com/; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

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  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Feb 19, 2026
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Nov 1, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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No analyst takes yet

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Frequently Asked Questions

New York Yankees leads at 20%, with Seattle Mariners at 17% -- an unusually tight race -- only 3% separates them 7 months out. $3.4M has traded across 40 positions with 200 days until resolution.
$3.4M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. At this stage, volume reflects ongoing reassessment as new information enters the market.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. New York Yankees's 20% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 20% chance of that outcome -- unlikely but not impossible. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the MLB: 2026 American League Champion event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?20%-View market
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 American League Championship Series?17%-View market
Will Detroit Tigers win the 2026 American League Championship Series?10%-View market
Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?8%-View market
Will Texas Rangers win the 2026 American League Championship Series?8%-View market
Will Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 American League Championship Series?7%-View market
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