Today's Signal

Game 4 Winner

Updated: 2 hours ago

No clear favorite yet — Game 4 Winner leads at 100% with Game 3 Winner close at 100%, signaling a competitive race.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~-1 days
Total Volume
$7.8M
24h Change
+$202K
Active Markets
70
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
Game 4 Winner
#1 Game 4 Winner
100%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Medium
Game 3 Winner
#2 Game 3 Winner
100%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Medium
O/U 3.5 Games
O/U 3.5 Games✦ Surprise
100%
Widely followed
People watching
High
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking lol: top esports vs lgd gaming (bo5) - lpl playoffs. Each team/candidate has their own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on teams they believe will win, or NO on teams they think will lose. The outcome will be determined based on official game results and championship announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on team performance, injuries, playoff standings, odds movements, betting line shifts, and expert analysis. Trading volume of $7.8M shows significant market interest with 7,787 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Top Esports and LGD Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against LGD Gaming. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against Top Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 29, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

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  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Jun 30, 2026
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Aug 29, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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Frequently Asked Questions

Game 4 Winner leads at 100%, with Game 3 Winner at 100% -- an unusually tight race -- only 0% separates them resolving soon. $7.8M has traded across 7,787 positions with 0 days until resolution.
$7.8M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. With resolution near, traders are locking in final positions based on latest information.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Game 4 Winner's 100% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 100% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Game 4 Winner100%$1035KView market
Game 3 Winner100%$817KView market
O/U 3.5 Games100%$53KView market
O/U 4.5 Games100%$15KView market
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?100%$1KView market
First Blood in Game 2?100%-View market
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