Today's Signal

Aryna Sabalenka

Updated: 2 hours ago

Traders currently favor Aryna Sabalenka at 55%, with Marta Kostyuk trailing.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~5 days
Total Volume
$4.7M
24h Change
+$121K
Active Markets
47
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
Aryna Sabalenka
#1 Aryna Sabalenka
55%
Widely followed
People watching
Medium
Money behind it
Low
Marta Kostyuk
#2 Marta Kostyuk
16%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
Elina Svitolina
Elina Svitolina✦ Surprise
9%
Limited activity
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking 2026 women's french open winner. Each team/candidate has their own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on teams they believe will win, or NO on teams they think will lose. The outcome will be determined based on official game results and championship announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on team performance, injuries, playoff standings, odds movements, betting line shifts, and expert analysis. Trading volume of $4.7M shows significant market interest with 4,651 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

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  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Jan 2, 2026
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Jun 6, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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Frequently Asked Questions

Aryna Sabalenka leads at 55%, with Marta Kostyuk at 16% -- a commanding 39-point lead 5 days out. $4.7M has traded across 4,651 positions with 5 days until resolution.
$4.7M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. With resolution near, traders are locking in final positions based on latest information.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Aryna Sabalenka's 55% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 55% chance of that outcome -- competitive but uncertain. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the 2026 Women's French Open Winner event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Aryna Sabalenka55%$160KView market
Marta Kostyuk16%$75KView market
Mirra Andreeva14%$161KView market
Elina Svitolina9%$180KView market
Anna Kalinskaya2%$53KView market
Diana Shnaider1%$46KView market
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