World Prediction Markets·Middle East·2026

Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

LIVE
4% YES
3.1% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of March 3, 2026, there leads at 4% odds with $343K positioned by 342 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$343K
24h Volume
$8.9K
Active Traders
342

This market resolves YES if there be no new supreme leader of iran by june 30. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

4%
$14K staked

Market predicts YES

96%
$329K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$19K
24h Change
-3.1%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$343K
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Our Take

Updated Recently

The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.

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📈Part Of

Next Supreme Leader of Iran?

40 markets$8.2M volume
Top Outcome
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?19.00%
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 23/100
$343K traded · Medium liquidity
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Polymarket4%
KalshiTBD
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Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~303
Number of trades342
Total volume$343K
Liquidity$19K