Macro Prediction Markets

Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?

LIVE
3% YES
0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of June 2, 2026, Satoshi's identity leads at 3% odds with $925K positioned by 924 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$925K
Status
Live
Winner / Leader
No (97%)

This market resolves YES if satoshi's identity be revealed by december 31.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

3%
$28K staked

Market predicts YES

97%
$897K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$26K
24h Change
+0.0%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$925K
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Our Take

Updated Recently

Market strongly favors NO at 97% odds. As of 6/2/2026, this market has $925K traded and 924 traders.

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Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 28/100
$925K traded · Medium liquidity