Macro Prediction Markets
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?
LIVE3% YES
↑ 0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of August 28, 2026, Satoshi's identity leads at 3% odds with $937K positioned by 936 trades and resolves January 2027.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Jan 2027
Total Volume
$937K
Status
Live
Winner / Leader
No (97%)
This market resolves YES if satoshi's identity be revealed by december 31.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
3%
$28K staked
Market predicts YES
97%
$909K staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$24K
24h Change
+0.0%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$937K
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Our Take
Updated Recently
Market strongly favors NO at 97% odds. As of 8/28/2026, this market has $937K traded and 936 traders.
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Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 25/100
$937K traded · Medium liquidity