Macro Prediction Markets
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
LIVE8% YES
↑ 0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of October 16, 2026, This market leads at 8% odds with $2.1M positioned by 2,086 trades and resolves January 2027.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Jan 2027
Total Volume
$2.1M
Status
Live
Winner / Leader
No (92%)
This market resolves YES if hezbollah disarm by december 31.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
8%
$167K staked
Market predicts YES
92%
$1.92M staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$15K
24h Change
+0.0%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$2.09M
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Our Take
Updated Recently
Market strongly favors NO at 92% odds. As of 10/16/2026, this market has $2.1M traded and 2,086 traders.
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Kalshi (Soon)
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 29/100
$2.1M traded · Medium liquidity