Macro Prediction Markets

Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?

LIVE
17% YES
0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of June 2, 2026, This market leads at 17% odds with $2.0M positioned by 1,961 trades and resolves March 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Mar 2026
Total Volume
$2.0M
Status
Live
Winner / Leader
No (83%)

This market resolves YES if hezbollah disarm by december 31.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

17%
$333K staked

Market predicts YES

83%
$1.63M staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$22K
24h Change
+0.0%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$1.96M
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Our Take

Updated Recently

Market favors NO at 83% odds. As of 6/2/2026, this market has $2.0M traded and 1,961 traders.

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Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 23/100
$2.0M traded · Medium liquidity