Macro Prediction Markets

Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?

LIVE
10% YES
0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of July 16, 2026, This market leads at 10% odds with $2.0M positioned by 2,018 trades and resolves March 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Mar 2026
Total Volume
$2.0M
Status
Live
Winner / Leader
No (90%)

This market resolves YES if hezbollah disarm by december 31.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

10%
$202K staked

Market predicts YES

90%
$1.82M staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$12K
24h Change
+0.0%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$2.02M
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Our Take

Updated Recently

Market strongly favors NO at 90% odds. As of 7/16/2026, this market has $2.0M traded and 2,018 traders.

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Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 23/100
$2.0M traded · Medium liquidity