Who is currently leading in Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

NO holds at 86% 3 months out. $908K has traded, suggesting overwhelming conviction from the market with 101 days remaining.

How much money is behind these odds?

$908K total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. At this stage, volume reflects ongoing reassessment as new information enters the market.

How do I read these odds?

This is a binary YES/NO market. NO's 86% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 86% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.

Tech Prediction Markets

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

LIVE

14% YES

↑ 0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago

As of September 21, 2026, This market leads at 14% odds with $908K positioned by 907 trades and resolves December 2026.

Market Snapshot

Resolution Date

Dec 2026

Total Volume

$908K

Status

Live

Winner / Leader

No (86%)

This market resolves YES if russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31, 2026.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

14%

$127K staked

Market predicts YES

86%

$781K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity

$149K

24h Change

+0.0%

Average Trade

$1K

Total Volume

$908K

💭

Our Take

Updated Recently

Market favors NO at 86% odds. As of 9/21/2026, this market has $908K traded and 907 traders.

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Market Confidence

LOW

Score: 31/100

$908K traded · Deep liquidity

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

Our Take

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