Who is currently leading in Kash Patel out by December 31?

NO holds at 77% 4 months out. $364K has traded, suggesting overwhelming conviction from the market with 123 days remaining.

How much money is behind these odds?

$364K total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. At this stage, volume reflects ongoing reassessment as new information enters the market.

How do I read these odds?

This is a binary YES/NO market. NO's 77% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 77% chance of that outcome -- more likely than not. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.

Macro Prediction Markets

Kash Patel out by December 31?

LIVE

23% YES

↑ 0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago

As of August 31, 2026, This market leads at 23% odds with $364K positioned by 364 trades and resolves January 2027.

Market Snapshot

Resolution Date

Jan 2027

Total Volume

$364K

Status

Live

Winner / Leader

No (77%)

This market resolves YES if kash patel out by december 31.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

23%

$84K staked

Market predicts YES

77%

$280K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity

$23K

24h Change

+0.0%

Average Trade

$1K

Total Volume

$364K

💭

Our Take

Updated Recently

Market favors NO at 77% odds. As of 8/31/2026, this market has $364K traded and 364 traders.

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Market Confidence

LOW

Score: 21/100

$364K traded · Medium liquidity

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

Our Take

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