Macro Prediction Markets·Awards·2026

Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

LIVE
4% YES
0.3% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of May 9, 2026, UNRWA leads at 4% odds with $1.9M positioned by 3,880 trades and resolves October 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Oct 2026
Total Volume
$1.9M
24h Volume
$50K
Active Traders
3,880

This market resolves YES if unrwa win the nobel peace prize in 2026. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

4%
$78K staked

Market predicts YES

96%
$1.86M staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$9K
24h Change
-0.3%
Average Trade
$500
Total Volume
$1.94M
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Our Take

Updated Recently

The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.

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Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 39/100
$1.9M traded · Limited liquidity
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~154
Number of trades3,880
Total volume$1.9M
Liquidity$9K