Macro Prediction Markets·Awards·2026

Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

LIVE
3% YES
0.8% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of March 25, 2026, UNRWA leads at 3% odds with $1.6M positioned by 1,576 trades and resolves October 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Oct 2026
Total Volume
$1.6M
24h Volume
$41K
Active Traders
1,576

This market resolves YES if unrwa win the nobel peace prize in 2026. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

3%
$47K staked

Market predicts YES

97%
$1.53M staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$61K
24h Change
-0.8%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$1.58M
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Our Take

Updated Recently

The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.

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Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 34/100
$1.6M traded · Medium liquidity
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~199
Number of trades1,576
Total volume$1.6M
Liquidity$61K