Tech Prediction Markets·Science·2026

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

LIVE
12% YES
↓ 0.2% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of May 8, 2026, there leads at 12% odds with $215K positioned by 429 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$215K
24h Volume
$5.6K
Active Traders
429

This market resolves YES if there be at least 5000 measles cases in the u.s. in 2026. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

12%
$26K staked

Market predicts YES

88%
$189K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$5K
24h Change
-0.2%
Average Trade
$501
Total Volume
$215K
💭

Our Take

Updated Recently

The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.

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Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 23/100
$215K traded · Limited liquidity
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~237
Number of trades429
Total volume$215K
Liquidity$5K