Who is currently leading in There be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

YES holds at 99% 8 months out. $45K has traded, suggesting overwhelming conviction from the market with 238 days remaining.

How much money is behind these odds?

$45K total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. At this stage, volume reflects ongoing reassessment as new information enters the market.

How do I read these odds?

This is a binary YES/NO market. YES's 99% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 99% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.

Tech Prediction Markets·Science·2026

Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

LIVE

99% YES

↑ 0.2% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago

As of May 7, 2026, there leads at 99% odds with $45K positioned by 90 trades and resolves December 2026.

Market Snapshot

Resolution Date

Dec 2026

Total Volume

$45K

24h Volume

$1.2K

Active Traders

This market resolves YES if there be at least 2000 measles cases in the u.s. in 2026. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

99%

$45K staked

Market predicts YES

$452 staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity

$3K

24h Change

+0.2%

Average Trade

$502

Total Volume

$45K

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Our Take

Updated Recently

The crowd is overwhelmingly convinced YES will happen. High conviction trades suggest strong consensus, but watch for contrarian signals if news shifts.

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