World Prediction Markets·Geopolitics·2026

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

LIVE
14% YES
↓ 0.2% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of March 25, 2026, This outcome leads at 14% odds with $156K positioned by 155 trades and resolves March 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Mar 2026
Total Volume
$156K
24h Volume
$4.1K
Active Traders
155

This market resolves YES if the u.s. invade venezuela by december 31, 2026. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

14%
$22K staked

Market predicts YES

86%
$134K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$39K
24h Change
-0.2%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$156K
💭

Our Take

Updated Recently

The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.

View Event →Trade on Polymarket →
📰

Latest News

AI-curated articles

Loading news articles...

🔍

Deeper Dives

Expert analysis

Similar Markets You Might Like
Part Of
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
4 markets•$14M volume
Top Outcome
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?14.00%
View All 4 Markets
Compare Platforms
Polymarket14%
KalshiTBD
PredictItTBD

Additional platforms coming soon

Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 11/100
$156K traded · Medium liquidity
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~6
Number of trades155
Total volume$156K
Liquidity$39K