Macro Prediction Markets·Science·2026

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

LIVE
12% YES
↓ 1.5% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of May 9, 2026, This outcome leads at 12% odds with $341K positioned by 340 trades and resolves September 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Sep 2026
Total Volume
$341K
24h Volume
$8.9K
Active Traders
340

This market resolves YES if the us confirm that aliens exist by september 30. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

12%
$41K staked

Market predicts YES

88%
$300K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$84K
24h Change
-1.5%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$341K
💭

Our Take

Updated Recently

The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.

View Event →Trade on Polymarket →
📰

Latest News

AI-curated articles

Loading news articles...

🔍

Deeper Dives

Expert analysis

Similar Markets You Might Like
Part Of
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
6 markets•$35M volume
Top Outcome
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?17.00%
View All 6 Markets
Compare Platforms
Polymarket12%
KalshiTBD
PredictItTBD

Additional platforms coming soon

Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 24/100
$341K traded · Medium liquidity
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~144
Number of trades340
Total volume$341K
Liquidity$84K