Macro Prediction Markets·Science·2026

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

LIVE
3% YES
2.9% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of May 9, 2026, This outcome leads at 3% odds with $2.3M positioned by 2,257 trades and resolves May 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
May 2026
Total Volume
$2.3M
24h Volume
$59K
Active Traders
2,257

This market resolves YES if the us confirm that aliens exist by may 31. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

3%
$68K staked

Market predicts YES

97%
$2.19M staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$126K
24h Change
-2.9%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$2.26M
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Our Take

Updated Recently

The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.

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Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 33/100
$2.3M traded · Deep liquidity
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~22
Number of trades2,257
Total volume$2.3M
Liquidity$126K