Macro Prediction Markets·Science·2026

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?

LIVE
0% YES
0.4% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of May 8, 2026, This outcome leads at 0% odds with $1.9M positioned by 9,706 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$1.9M
24h Volume
$50K
Active Traders
9,706

This market resolves YES if the us confirm that aliens exist by march 31. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

0%
$0 staked

Market predicts YES

100%
$1.94M staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$0
24h Change
-0.4%
Average Trade
$200
Total Volume
$1.94M
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Our Take

Updated Recently

The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.

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Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 46/100
$1.9M traded · Limited liquidity
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~237
Number of trades9,706
Total volume$1.9M
Liquidity$0