Macro Prediction Markets·Fed Rates·2026
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
LIVE3% YES
↓ 0.3% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of May 7, 2026, the upper bound of the target federal funds rate leads at 3% odds with $410K positioned by 410 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$410K
24h Volume
$10.7K
Active Traders
410
This market resolves YES if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
3%
$12K staked
Market predicts YES
97%
$398K staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$21K
24h Change
-0.3%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$410K
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Our Take
Updated Recently
The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.
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Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 24/100
$410K traded · Medium liquidity
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~216
Number of trades410
Total volume$410K
Liquidity$21K