Macro Prediction Markets·Fed Rates·2026

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?

LIVE
54% YES
0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of May 9, 2026, the upper bound of the target federal funds rate leads at 54% odds with $516K positioned by 515 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$516K
24h Volume
$13.4K
Active Traders
515

This market resolves YES if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

54%
$279K staked

Market predicts YES

46%
$237K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$19K
24h Change
+0.0%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$516K
💭

Our Take

Updated Recently

The market is divided. Divergence between crowd sentiment and money flow suggests uncertainty. Expect volatility as new information emerges.

📰

Latest News

AI-curated articles

Loading news articles...

🔍

Deeper Dives

Expert analysis

Similar Markets You Might Like
Compare Platforms
Polymarket54%
KalshiTBD
PredictItTBD

Additional platforms coming soon

Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 25/100
$516K traded · Medium liquidity
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~214
Number of trades515
Total volume$516K
Liquidity$19K