Macro Prediction Markets·Fed Rates·2026

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?

LIVE
12% YES
↓ 0.2% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of May 9, 2026, the upper bound of the target federal funds rate leads at 12% odds with $189K positioned by 377 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$189K
24h Volume
$4.9K
Active Traders
377

This market resolves YES if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

12%
$23K staked

Market predicts YES

88%
$166K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$5K
24h Change
-0.2%
Average Trade
$500
Total Volume
$189K
💭

Our Take

Updated Recently

The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.

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Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 22/100
$189K traded · Limited liquidity
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~214
Number of trades377
Total volume$189K
Liquidity$5K