Macro Prediction Markets·Fed Rates·2026
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?
LIVE14% YES
↓ 0.1% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of May 9, 2026, the upper bound of the target federal funds rate leads at 14% odds with $50K positioned by 100 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$50K
24h Volume
$1.3K
Active Traders
100
This market resolves YES if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
14%
$7K staked
Market predicts YES
86%
$43K staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$5K
24h Change
-0.1%
Average Trade
$503
Total Volume
$50K
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Our Take
Updated Recently
The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.
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Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 21/100
$50K traded · Limited liquidity
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~214
Number of trades100
Total volume$50K
Liquidity$5K