Macro Prediction Markets·Fed Rates·2026
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?
LIVE5% YES
↓ 0.3% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of May 9, 2026, the upper bound of the target federal funds rate leads at 5% odds with $453K positioned by 906 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$453K
24h Volume
$11.8K
Active Traders
906
This market resolves YES if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
5%
$23K staked
Market predicts YES
95%
$431K staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$9K
24h Change
-0.3%
Average Trade
$500
Total Volume
$453K
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Our Take
Updated Recently
The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.
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Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 25/100
$453K traded · Limited liquidity
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~214
Number of trades906
Total volume$453K
Liquidity$9K