Macro Prediction Markets·Economic Policy·2026

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

LIVE
4% YES
0.6% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of March 24, 2026, This outcome leads at 4% odds with $6.7M positioned by 6,722 trades and resolves April 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Apr 2026
Total Volume
$6.7M
24h Volume
$175K
Active Traders
6,722

This market resolves YES if the fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the april 2026 meeting. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

4%
$269K staked

Market predicts YES

96%
$6.45M staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$344K
24h Change
-0.6%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$6.72M
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Our Take

Updated Recently

The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.

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Market Confidence
MEDIUM
Score: 71/100
$6.7M traded · Deep liquidity
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~36
Number of trades6,722
Total volume$6.7M
Liquidity$344K