Macro Prediction Markets·Awards·2026

Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

LIVE
4% YES
0.3% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of May 9, 2026, Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani leads at 4% odds with $605K positioned by 1,209 trades and resolves October 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Oct 2026
Total Volume
$605K
24h Volume
$15.7K
Active Traders
1,209

This market resolves YES if tamim bin hamad al thani win the nobel peace prize in 2026. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

4%
$24K staked

Market predicts YES

96%
$581K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$7K
24h Change
-0.3%
Average Trade
$500
Total Volume
$605K
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Our Take

Updated Recently

The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.

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Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 24/100
$605K traded · Limited liquidity
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~154
Number of trades1,209
Total volume$605K
Liquidity$7K