Macro Prediction Markets·Economics·2026

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?

LIVE
2% YES
0.3% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of May 23, 2026, This market leads at 2% odds with $52K positioned by 51 trades and resolves June 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Jun 2026
Total Volume
$52K
Status
Live
Active Traders
51

This market resolves YES if russia capture all of kupiansk by june 30. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

2%
$1K staked

Market predicts YES

98%
$51K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$4K
24h Change
-0.3%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$52K
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Our Take

Updated Recently

The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.

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Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 15/100
$52K traded · Limited liquidity
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~38
Number of trades51
Total volume$52K
Liquidity$4K