Macro Prediction Markets·Awards·2026
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
LIVE4% YES
↓ 0.3% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of May 8, 2026, Pope Leo XIV leads at 4% odds with $690K positioned by 690 trades and resolves October 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Oct 2026
Total Volume
$690K
24h Volume
$18.0K
Active Traders
690
This market resolves YES if pope leo xiv win the nobel peace prize in 2026. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
4%
$28K staked
Market predicts YES
96%
$663K staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$34K
24h Change
-0.3%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$690K
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Our Take
Updated Recently
The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.
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Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 24/100
$690K traded · Medium liquidity
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~155
Number of trades690
Total volume$690K
Liquidity$34K