Macro Prediction Markets·Awards·2026
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
LIVE4% YES
↓ 0.7% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of March 25, 2026, Pope Leo XIV leads at 4% odds with $376K positioned by 376 trades and resolves October 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Oct 2026
Total Volume
$376K
24h Volume
$9.8K
Active Traders
376
This market resolves YES if pope leo xiv win the nobel peace prize in 2026. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
4%
$15K staked
Market predicts YES
96%
$361K staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$73K
24h Change
-0.7%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$376K
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Our Take
Updated Recently
The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.
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Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 26/100
$376K traded · Medium liquidity
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~199
Number of trades376
Total volume$376K
Liquidity$73K