Politics Prediction Markets·US Election·2028

Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

LIVE
1% YES
0.1% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of May 4, 2026, John Thune leads at 1% odds with $32.5M positioned by 32,453 trades and resolves November 2028.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Nov 2028
Total Volume
$32.5M
24h Volume
$844K
Active Traders
32,453

This market resolves YES if john thune win the 2028 republican presidential nomination. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

1%
$325K staked

Market predicts YES

99%
$32.13M staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$840K
24h Change
-0.1%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$32.45M
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Our Take

Updated Recently

The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.

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Market Confidence
HIGH
Score: 95/100
$32.5M traded · Deep liquidity
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~918
Number of trades32,453
Total volume$32.5M
Liquidity$840K