Macro Prediction Markets·Awards·2026
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
LIVE7% YES
↓ 0.5% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of May 9, 2026, Donald Trump leads at 7% odds with $2.7M positioned by 2,659 trades and resolves October 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Oct 2026
Total Volume
$2.7M
24h Volume
$69K
Active Traders
2,659
This market resolves YES if donald trump win the nobel peace prize in 2026. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
7%
$186K staked
Market predicts YES
93%
$2.47M staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$416K
24h Change
-0.5%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$2.66M
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Our Take
Updated Recently
The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.
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Market Confidence
MEDIUM
Score: 56/100
$2.7M traded · Deep liquidity
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~154
Number of trades2,659
Total volume$2.7M
Liquidity$416K