Macro Prediction Markets·Awards·2026
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
LIVE8% YES
↓ 0.3% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of March 25, 2026, Donald Trump leads at 8% odds with $2.3M positioned by 2,298 trades and resolves October 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Oct 2026
Total Volume
$2.3M
24h Volume
$60K
Active Traders
2,298
This market resolves YES if donald trump win the nobel peace prize in 2026. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
8%
$184K staked
Market predicts YES
92%
$2.11M staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$480K
24h Change
-0.3%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$2.30M
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Our Take
Updated Recently
The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.
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Market Confidence
MEDIUM
Score: 60/100
$2.3M traded · Deep liquidity
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~199
Number of trades2,298
Total volume$2.3M
Liquidity$480K