Politics Prediction Markets·US Election·2028

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

LIVE
2% YES
0.2% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of May 7, 2026, Donald Trump leads at 2% odds with $7.8M positioned by 7,812 trades and resolves November 2028.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Nov 2028
Total Volume
$7.8M
24h Volume
$203K
Active Traders
7,812

This market resolves YES if donald trump win the 2028 republican presidential nomination. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

2%
$156K staked

Market predicts YES

98%
$7.66M staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$272K
24h Change
-0.2%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$7.81M
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Our Take

Updated Recently

The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.

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Market Confidence
HIGH
Score: 77/100
$7.8M traded · Deep liquidity
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~915
Number of trades7,812
Total volume$7.8M
Liquidity$272K