Who is currently leading in Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

YES holds at 82% 75 days out. $2.0M has traded, suggesting overwhelming conviction from the market with 75 days remaining.

How much money is behind these odds?

$2.0M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. Volume tends to accelerate as resolution approaches and traders adjust positions.

How do I read these odds?

This is a binary YES/NO market. YES's 82% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 82% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.

Politics Prediction Markets·Middle East·2026

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

LIVE

82% YES

↑ 0.8% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago

As of April 17, 2026, This outcome leads at 82% odds with $2.0M positioned by 2,012 trades and resolves June 2026.

Market Snapshot

Resolution Date

Jun 2026

Total Volume

$2.0M

24h Volume

$52K

Active Traders

2,012

This market resolves YES if trump announces end of military operations against iran by june 30th. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

82%

$1.65M staked

Market predicts YES

18%

$362K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity

$187K

24h Change

+0.8%

Average Trade

$1K

Total Volume

$2.01M

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Our Take

Updated Recently

The crowd is overwhelmingly convinced YES will happen. High conviction trades suggest strong consensus, but watch for contrarian signals if news shifts.

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