Today's Signal

Jannik Sinner

Updated: 2 hours ago

Traders currently favor Jannik Sinner at 53%, with Carlos Alcaraz trailing.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~58 days
Total Volume
$3.6M
24h Change
+$95K
Active Markets
22

Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
Jannik Sinner
#1 Jannik Sinner
53%
Widely followed
People watching
Medium
Money behind it
Low
Carlos Alcaraz
#2 Carlos Alcaraz
23%
Limited activity
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
Felix Auger Aliassime
Felix Auger Aliassime✦ Surprise
1%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking 2026 men’s us open winner (tennis). Each team/candidate has their own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on teams they believe will win, or NO on teams they think will lose. The outcome will be determined based on official game results and championship announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on team performance, injuries, playoff standings, odds movements, betting line shifts, and expert analysis. Trading volume of $3.6M shows significant market interest with 3,648 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open https://www.usopen.org/index.html; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.
  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Jul 15, 2026
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Sep 13, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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Frequently Asked Questions

Jannik Sinner leads at 53%, with Carlos Alcaraz at 23% -- a commanding 30-point lead 58 days out. $3.6M has traded across 3,648 positions with 58 days until resolution.
$3.6M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. Volume tends to accelerate as resolution approaches and traders adjust positions.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Jannik Sinner's 53% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 53% chance of that outcome -- competitive but uncertain. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis) event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Jannik Sinner53%$52KView market
Carlos Alcaraz23%$91KView market
Alexander Zverev8%$57KView market
Novak Djokovic4%$220KView market
Ben Shelton2%$81KView market
Daniil Medvedev2%$56KView market

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Markets are live and updating as the race evolves.