Today's Signal

Jannik Sinner

Updated: 2 hours ago

Jannik Sinner is ahead at 48% with Carlos Alcaraz at 26%, but the race is far from settled.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~106 days
Total Volume
$2.0M
24h Change
+$53K
Active Markets
22
⚡

Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
Jannik Sinner
#1 Jannik Sinner
48%
Widely followed
People watching
Medium
Money behind it
Low
Carlos Alcaraz
#2 Carlos Alcaraz
26%
Limited activity
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
Felix Auger Aliassime
Felix Auger Aliassime✦ Surprise
1%
Limited activity
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking 2026 men’s us open winner (tennis). Each team/candidate has their own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on teams they believe will win, or NO on teams they think will lose. The outcome will be determined based on official game results and championship announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on team performance, injuries, playoff standings, odds movements, betting line shifts, and expert analysis. Trading volume of $2.0M shows significant market interest with 2,048 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open https://www.usopen.org/index.html; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

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  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Jan 2, 2026
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Sep 13, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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Frequently Asked Questions

Jannik Sinner leads at 48%, with Carlos Alcaraz at 26% -- a commanding 22-point lead 4 months out. $2.0M has traded across 2,048 positions with 106 days until resolution.
$2.0M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. At this stage, volume reflects ongoing reassessment as new information enters the market.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Jannik Sinner's 48% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 48% chance of that outcome -- competitive but uncertain. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis) event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Jannik Sinner48%$9KView market
Carlos Alcaraz26%$13KView market
Novak Djokovic4%$173KView market
Alexander Zverev4%$16KView market
Joao Fonseca3%$93KView market
Daniil Medvedev3%$13KView market
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