Today's Signal

Carlos Alcaraz

Updated: 2 hours ago

No clear favorite yet — Carlos Alcaraz leads at 28% with Alexander Zverev close at 23%, signaling a competitive race.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~13 days
Total Volume
$12.9M
24h Change
+$334K
Active Markets
22
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing — What does this mean?
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
Carlos Alcaraz
#1 Carlos Alcaraz
28%
Attention and money aligned
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
Alexander Zverev
#2 Alexander Zverev
23%
Limited activity
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking 2026 men’s us open winner (tennis). Each team/candidate has their own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on teams they believe will win, or NO on teams they think will lose. The outcome will be determined based on official game results and championship announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on team performance, injuries, playoff standings, odds movements, betting line shifts, and expert analysis. Trading volume of $12.9M shows significant market interest with 12,857 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market - you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open https://www.usopen.org/index.html; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.

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  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Jul 15, 2026
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Sep 13, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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Frequently Asked Questions

Carlos Alcaraz leads at 28%, with Alexander Zverev at 23% -- a tight race, only 5% separates them 13 days out. $12.9M has traded across 12,857 positions with 13 days until resolution.
$12.9M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. With resolution near, traders are locking in final positions based on latest information.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Carlos Alcaraz's 28% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 28% chance of that outcome -- unlikely but not impossible. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis) event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Carlos Alcaraz28%$1079KView market
Alexander Zverev23%$561KView market
Arthur Fils10%$622KView market
Taylor Fritz8%$482KView market
Ben Shelton7%$484KView market
Felix Auger Aliassime4%$946KView market
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