Today's Signal

Carlos Alcaraz

Updated: 2026-03-03T12:01:46.793Z

Carlos Alcaraz is ahead at 41% with Jannik Sinner at 31%, but the race is far from settled.
0%
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Event Snapshot

Time Horizon
~96 days
Total Volume
$533K
24h Change
+$13.9K
Active Markets
26
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Crowd vs Money

A PredictionCircle signal
Crowd vs Money shows who's watching vs. who's backing
i
More dots = more people watching. Longer bar = more money at stake.
Carlos Alcaraz
#1 Carlos Alcaraz
42%
Widely followed
People watching
Medium
Money behind it
Low
Jannik Sinner
#2 Jannik Sinner
31%
Widely followed
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
Alexander Zverev
Alexander Zverev✦ Surprise
5%
Limited activity
People watching
Low
Money behind it
Low
  • Includes both YES and NO positions
  • Not investment advice
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact

What is Crowd vs Money?

Crowd vs Money is a signal developed by PredictionCircle to compare breadth of participation versus depth of capital commitment in a prediction market. High participation does not always indicate strong conviction. In some cases, many people express a belief about a candidate while relatively little money backs that outcome. In others, fewer people participate, but larger stakes suggest deeper commitment. This reveals how markets are distributed beyond headline odds.

  • Money behind it includes both YES and NO positions.
  • High money behind it does not imply higher probability.
  • Visuals are comparative, not exact. Not investment advice.
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Understand this event

What This Event Is About

This is a multi-outcome prediction market tracking 2026 men's french open winner. Each team/candidate has their own separate YES/NO market. Traders can buy YES on teams they believe will win, or NO on teams they think will lose. The outcome will be determined based on official game results and championship announcements.

Market prices reflect real-time trader sentiment based on team performance, injuries, playoff standings, odds movements, betting line shifts, and expert analysis. Trading volume of $533K shows significant market interest with 5 active participants.

Candidate Markets & How to Read Them

1Each candidate has their own YES/NO market — you can buy YES (they win) or NO (they don't).
2Probabilities across candidates do not need to sum to 100%. You can bet YES on multiple candidates or NO on all of them.
3Prices reflect current market belief, not vote share, polls, or official projections.
4Use the Crowd vs Money signals above to contextualize what the odds mean.

How Markets Resolve This Event

  • ✓Resolution is based on official announcements and credible sources.
  • ✓Publicly verifiable sources and official results are used for resolution.
  • ✓The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
⚠️ Understanding resolution rules is essential before trading.
  • Key dates and timeline
  • Expert takes and analysis
  • Frequently asked questions

Timeline & Key Updates

Jan 2, 2026
Event Launch
Event opened and became active.
Ongoing
Active Trading
Market is live with continuous price updates.
Jun 7, 2026
Resolution Date
Market resolves based on official outcome.

Analyst & Expert Takes

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No analyst takes yet

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Frequently Asked Questions

Carlos Alcaraz leads at 42%, with Jannik Sinner at 31% -- a 11-point lead 3 months out. $533K has traded across 5 positions with 96 days until resolution.
$533K total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. At this stage, volume reflects ongoing reassessment as new information enters the market.
Each candidate has a separate YES/NO market. Carlos Alcaraz's 42% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 42% chance of that outcome -- competitive but uncertain. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.
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View all markets in this event

These are the individual markets that make up the 2026 Men's French Open Winner event.

Candidate MarketYes %Liquidity
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?42%—View market
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?31%—View market
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?6%—View market
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?5%—View market
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open?2%—View market
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?2%—View market
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