Macro Prediction Markets

Will there be no Hormuz agreement?

LIVE
95% YES
↑ 0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of October 15, 2026, there leads at 95% odds with $587K positioned by 586 trades and resolves November 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Nov 2026
Total Volume
$587K
Status
Live
Winner / Leader
Yes (95%)

This market resolves YES if there be no hormuz agreement.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

95%
$557K staked

Market predicts YES

5%
$29K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$233K
24h Change
+0.0%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$587K
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Our Take

Updated Recently

Market strongly favors YES at 95% odds. As of 10/15/2026, this market has $587K traded and 586 traders.

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Polymarket95%
KalshiTBD
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Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 27/100
$587K traded · Deep liquidity