Macro Prediction Markets
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?
LIVE95% YES
↑ 0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of October 15, 2026, there leads at 95% odds with $587K positioned by 586 trades and resolves November 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Nov 2026
Total Volume
$587K
Status
Live
Winner / Leader
Yes (95%)
This market resolves YES if there be no hormuz agreement.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
95%
$557K staked
Market predicts YES
5%
$29K staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$233K
24h Change
+0.0%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$587K
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Our Take
Updated Recently
Market strongly favors YES at 95% odds. As of 10/15/2026, this market has $587K traded and 586 traders.
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Deeper Dives
Expert analysis
Compare Platforms
Polymarket95%
KalshiTBD
PredictItTBD
Additional platforms coming soon
Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 27/100
$587K traded · Deep liquidity

