Macro Prediction Markets·General·2026

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

LIVE
1% YES
1.2% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of February 6, 2026, This outcome leads at 1% odds with $27.0M positioned by 26,950 trades and resolves March 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Mar 2026
Total Volume
$27.0M
24h Volume
$701K
Active Traders
26,950

This market resolves YES if the fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the march 2026 meeting. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

1%
$270K staked

Market predicts YES

99%
$26.68M staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$1.70M
24h Change
-1.2%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$26.95M
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Our Take

Updated Recently

The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.

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📊Part Of

Fed decision in March?

4 markets$69.9M volume
Top Outcome
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?81.00%
Market Confidence
HIGH
Score: 89/100
$27.0M traded · Deep liquidity
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Quick Stats
Days until resolution~40
Number of trades26,950
Total volume$27.0M
Liquidity$1.7M