Who is currently leading in Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?

NO holds at 75% 3 months out. $262K has traded, suggesting overwhelming conviction from the market with 102 days remaining.

How much money is behind these odds?

$262K total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. At this stage, volume reflects ongoing reassessment as new information enters the market.

How do I read these odds?

This is a binary YES/NO market. NO's 75% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 75% chance of that outcome -- more likely than not. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.

World Prediction Markets

Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?

LIVE

25% YES

↑ 0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago

As of September 21, 2026, This market leads at 25% odds with $262K positioned by 262 trades and resolves January 2027.

Market Snapshot

Resolution Date

Jan 2027

Total Volume

$262K

Status

Live

Winner / Leader

No (75%)

This market resolves YES if iran charges hormuz fees by december 31.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

25%

$66K staked

Market predicts YES

75%

$197K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity

$10K

24h Change

+0.0%

Average Trade

$1K

Total Volume

$262K

💭

Our Take

Updated Recently

Market favors NO at 75% odds. As of 9/21/2026, this market has $262K traded and 262 traders.

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Market Confidence

LOW

Score: 19/100

$262K traded · Medium liquidity

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

Our Take

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