Macro Prediction Markets
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?
LIVE1% YES
↑ 0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of October 15, 2026, This market leads at 1% odds with $146K positioned by 146 trades and resolves November 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Nov 2026
Total Volume
$146K
Status
Live
Winner / Leader
No (99%)
This market resolves YES if friedrich merz out as chancellor of germany before october 31, 2026.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
1%
$1K staked
Market predicts YES
99%
$145K staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$44K
24h Change
+0.0%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$146K
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Our Take
Updated Recently
Market strongly favors NO at 99% odds. As of 10/15/2026, this market has $146K traded and 146 traders.
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Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 14/100
$146K traded · Medium liquidity