Macro Prediction Markets

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?

LIVE
21% YES
↑ 0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of October 15, 2026, This market leads at 21% odds with $2K positioned by 2 trades and resolves April 2027.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Apr 2027
Total Volume
$2K
Status
Live
Winner / Leader
No (79%)

This market resolves YES if friedrich merz out as chancellor of germany before march 31, 2027.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

21%
$478 staked

Market predicts YES

79%
$2K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$18K
24h Change
+0.0%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$2K
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Our Take

Updated Recently

Market favors NO at 79% odds. As of 10/15/2026, this market has $2K traded and 2 traders.

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Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 18/100
$2K traded · Medium liquidity