Macro Prediction Markets

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027?

LIVE
35% YES
↑ 0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of October 15, 2026, This market leads at 35% odds with $3K positioned by 2 trades and resolves July 2027.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Jul 2027
Total Volume
$3K
Status
Live
Winner / Leader
No (65%)

This market resolves YES if friedrich merz out as chancellor of germany before june 30, 2027.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

35%
$1K staked

Market predicts YES

65%
$2K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$28K
24h Change
+0.0%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$3K
💭

Our Take

Updated Recently

Market favors NO at 65% odds. As of 10/15/2026, this market has $3K traded and 2 traders.

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Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 21/100
$3K traded · Medium liquidity