Macro Prediction Markets
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?
LIVE49% YES
↑ 0.0% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of October 15, 2026, This market leads at 49% odds with $4K positioned by 3 trades and resolves January 2028.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Jan 2028
Total Volume
$4K
Status
Live
Winner / Leader
No (51%)
This market resolves YES if friedrich merz out as chancellor of germany before december 31, 2027.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
49%
$2K staked
Market predicts YES
51%
$2K staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$27K
24h Change
+0.0%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$4K
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Our Take
Updated Recently
Market is uncertain with YES at 49% and NO at 51%. As of 10/15/2026, this market has $4K traded and 3 traders.
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Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 21/100
$4K traded · Medium liquidity