Who is currently leading in Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?

NO holds at 90% 46 days out. $5K has traded, suggesting overwhelming conviction from the market with 46 days remaining.

How much money is behind these odds?

$5K total, $2K moved in the last 24 hours -- high recent activity. Volume tends to accelerate as resolution approaches and traders adjust positions.

How do I read these odds?

This is a binary YES/NO market. NO's 90% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 90% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.