Education Hub

Understand prediction
markets in full.

Everything you need to go from "I've heard of this" to genuinely understanding how prediction markets work, what they're good for, and why millions of people are paying attention.

13articles
→
Start here
Prediction Markets vs Stock Market: Key Differences Explained
Prediction markets let you bet on events. Stock markets trade company ownership. Learn how they differ in structure, purpose, and what you can trade.
Read the explainer →
Also popular: 5 Things Prediction Markets Are Not
Suggested path
01Prediction Markets vs Sto…→
025 Things Prediction Marke…→
03Wisdom of Crowds Explaine…→
045 Prediction Market Conce…→
05How Prediction Markets Wo…
Learn13 articles
Read
Prediction Markets vs Stock Market: Key Differences Explained
Prediction markets let you bet on events. Stock markets trade company ownership. Learn how they differ in structure, purpose, and what you can trade.
15 min read→
Read
5 Things Prediction Markets Are Not
Prediction markets aren't polls, gambling sites, or crystal balls. Learn what they actually are by understanding what they're not—in plain English.
17 min read→
Article
Wisdom of Crowds Explained: Why Prediction Markets Aggregate Better Than Experts
How prediction markets harness collective intelligence to outperform experts. Real data on when crowds succeed, when they fail, and what makes aggregation work.
17 min→
Article
5 Prediction Market Concepts That Confuse Beginners
New to prediction markets? Learn the 5 concepts beginners get wrong most often—probability vs odds, market depth, liquidity, and more explained simply.
15 min→
Article
How Prediction Markets Work: Trading on What Happens Next
Prediction markets let traders bet real money on real outcomes. Learn how these markets aggregate beliefs, why odds shift, and what makes them accurate.
14 min→
01
Prediction Markets Explained: Buying a Dollar at a Discount
Prediction markets aren't bets. They're mispriced dollars. Here's the one concept that changes how you see every market.
→02
Prediction Market Terms Explained: The Complete Glossary in Plain English
Every prediction market term you'll encounter — from bid-ask spread to oracle resolution — defined in plain English. 50 terms, no jargon walls.
→03
How Prediction Market Contracts Resolve: and What Happens When It Gets Messy
Winning shares pay $1. Losing shares pay $0. But resolution is messier than that. Here's how it actually works across every major platform.
→04
What Does the Price Mean in a Prediction Market?
A prediction market price is an implied probability — but the number on screen is usually a midpoint, not what you'd actually pay. Here's what it really means.
→05
Are Prediction Markets Better Than Polls?
Are betting markets accurate? Prediction markets vs polls: why betting odds often outperform surveys, and where they still fall short.
→06
What Is a Prediction Market?
A prediction market is a platform where people buy and sell contracts tied to real-world outcomes.
→07
How Is a Prediction Market Different from Betting?
In this guide, we break down what actually separates prediction markets from traditional sportsbooks, including counterparty risk, price formation, and the cost of trading.
→08
Are Prediction Markets Legal? The Complete 2026 Guide
Whether prediction markets are legal depends on where you are and which platform you use. Here's the full answer for the US, UK, EU, and beyond.
→