World Prediction Markets·Middle East·2026
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?
LIVE5% YES
↓ 0.6% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of May 8, 2026, there leads at 5% odds with $415K positioned by 415 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$415K
24h Volume
$10.8K
Active Traders
415
This market resolves YES if there be no head of state in iran end of 2026. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
5%
$21K staked
Market predicts YES
95%
$394K staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$61K
24h Change
-0.6%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$415K
💭
Our Take
Updated Recently
The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.
📰
Latest News
AI-curated articles
Loading news articles...
🔍
Deeper Dives
Expert analysis
Similar Markets You Might Like
Compare Platforms
Polymarket5%
KalshiTBD
PredictItTBD
Additional platforms coming soon
Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 26/100
$415K traded · Medium liquidity
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~237
Number of trades415
Total volume$415K
Liquidity$61K