Politics Prediction Markets·Trump Presidency·2026
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
LIVE8% YES
↓ 0.2% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of April 13, 2026, This outcome leads at 8% odds with $381K positioned by 381 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$381K
24h Volume
$9.9K
Active Traders
381
This market resolves YES if the us officially declare war on iran by december 31, 2026. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
8%
$30K staked
Market predicts YES
92%
$351K staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$78K
24h Change
-0.2%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$381K
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Our Take
Updated Recently
The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.
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Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 27/100
$381K traded · Medium liquidity
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~262
Number of trades381
Total volume$381K
Liquidity$78K