Politics Prediction Markets·Trump Presidency·2026
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
LIVE1% YES
↓ 0.7% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of April 15, 2026, This outcome leads at 1% odds with $1.0M positioned by 1,044 trades and resolves April 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Apr 2026
Total Volume
$1.0M
24h Volume
$27K
Active Traders
1,044
This market resolves YES if the us officially declare war on iran by april 30, 2026. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
1%
$10K staked
Market predicts YES
99%
$1.03M staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$143K
24h Change
-0.7%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$1.04M
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Our Take
Updated Recently
The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.
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Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 25/100
$1.0M traded · Deep liquidity
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~15
Number of trades1,044
Total volume$1.0M
Liquidity$143K