World Prediction Markets·Geopolitics·2026

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

LIVE
14% YES
0.3% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of May 26, 2026, the Iranian regime fall leads at 14% odds with $18.9M positioned by 18,864 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$18.9M
Status
Live
Active Traders
18,864

This market resolves YES if the iranian regime fall before 2027. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

14%
$2.64M staked

Market predicts YES

86%
$16.22M staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity
$233K
24h Change
-0.3%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$18.86M
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Our Take

Updated Recently

The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.

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Expert analysis

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Polymarket14%
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Trade on Polymarket
Kalshi (Soon)
Market Confidence
HIGH
Score: 82/100
$18.9M traded · Deep liquidity
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~219
Number of trades18,864
Total volume$18.9M
Liquidity$233K