Who is currently leading in Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

YES holds at 95% 7 months out. $2.4M has traded, suggesting overwhelming conviction from the market with 220 days remaining.

How much money is behind these odds?

$2.4M total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. At this stage, volume reflects ongoing reassessment as new information enters the market.

How do I read these odds?

This is a binary YES/NO market. YES's 95% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 95% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.

Politics Prediction Markets·Fed Rates·2026

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

LIVE

95% YES

↑ 0.6% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago

As of March 25, 2026, Kevin Warsh leads at 95% odds with $2.4M positioned by 2,382 trades and resolves October 2026.

Market Snapshot

Resolution Date

Oct 2026

Total Volume

$2.4M

24h Volume

$62K

Active Traders

2,382

This market resolves YES if kevin warsh be confirmed as fed chair. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

95%

$2.26M staked

Market predicts YES

$119K staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity

$477K

24h Change

+0.6%

Average Trade

$1K

Total Volume

$2.38M

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Our Take

Updated Recently

The crowd is overwhelmingly convinced YES will happen. High conviction trades suggest strong consensus, but watch for contrarian signals if news shifts.

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