World Prediction Markets·Foreign Policy·2026
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
LIVE7% YES
↓ 0.4% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of May 8, 2026, This outcome leads at 7% odds with $23.4M positioned by 23,356 trades and resolves December 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
Dec 2026
Total Volume
$23.4M
24h Volume
$607K
Active Traders
23,356
This market resolves YES if china invade taiwan by end of 2026. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
7%
$1.63M staked
Market predicts YES
93%
$21.72M staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$980K
24h Change
-0.4%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$23.36M
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Our Take
Updated Recently
The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.
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Market Confidence
HIGH
Score: 95/100
$23.4M traded · Deep liquidity
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~237
Number of trades23,356
Total volume$23.4M
Liquidity$980K