Who is currently leading in Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

YES holds at 100% 74 days out. $763K has traded, suggesting overwhelming conviction from the market with 74 days remaining.

How much money is behind these odds?

$763K total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. Volume tends to accelerate as resolution approaches and traders adjust positions.

How do I read these odds?

This is a binary YES/NO market. YES's 100% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 100% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.

World Prediction Markets·Geopolitics·2026

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

LIVE

100% YES

↑ 3.4% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago

As of April 17, 2026, This outcome leads at 100% odds with $763K positioned by 3,815 trades and resolves June 2026.

Market Snapshot

Resolution Date

Jun 2026

Total Volume

$763K

24h Volume

$19.8K

Active Traders

3,815

This market resolves YES if israel x hezbollah ceasefire by june 30, 2026. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

100%

$763K staked

Market predicts YES

$0 staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity

24h Change

+3.4%

Average Trade

$200

Total Volume

$763K

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Our Take

Updated Recently

The crowd is overwhelmingly convinced YES will happen. High conviction trades suggest strong consensus, but watch for contrarian signals if news shifts.

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