Who is currently leading in Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026?

YES holds at 100% 13 days out. $696K has traded, suggesting overwhelming conviction from the market with 13 days remaining.

How much money is behind these odds?

$696K total, relatively stable over the last 24 hours. With resolution near, traders are locking in final positions based on latest information.

How do I read these odds?

This is a binary YES/NO market. YES's 100% means traders collectively believe there's roughly a 100% chance of that outcome -- extremely likely to occur. These percentages are based on money committed, not polls or surveys. Prices shift when new information changes conviction.

World Prediction Markets·Geopolitics·2026

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026?

LIVE

100% YES

↑ 0.4% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago

As of April 17, 2026, This outcome leads at 100% odds with $696K positioned by 3,477 trades and resolves April 2026.

Market Snapshot

Resolution Date

Apr 2026

Total Volume

$696K

24h Volume

$18.1K

Active Traders

3,477

This market resolves YES if israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 21, 2026. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.

Data Visualization

WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS

100%

$696K staked

Market predicts YES

$0 staked

Market predicts NO

Liquidity

24h Change

+0.4%

Average Trade

$200

Total Volume

$696K

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Our Take

Updated Recently

The crowd is overwhelmingly convinced YES will happen. High conviction trades suggest strong consensus, but watch for contrarian signals if news shifts.

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