Politics Prediction Markets·Geopolitics·2026
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
LIVE14% YES
↓ 2.5% (24h)·Last updated: 2 hours ago
As of May 8, 2026, This outcome leads at 14% odds with $821K positioned by 820 trades and resolves May 2026.
Market Snapshot
Resolution Date
May 2026
Total Volume
$821K
24h Volume
$21.3K
Active Traders
820
This market resolves YES if iran closes its airspace by may 15. Resolution based on official announcements and credible reporting from established news sources.
Data Visualization
WHERE THE MONEY FLOWS
14%
$115K staked
Market predicts YES
86%
$706K staked
Market predicts NO
Liquidity
$39K
24h Change
-2.5%
Average Trade
$1K
Total Volume
$821K
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Our Take
Updated Recently
The market has largely written this off. With probability this low, it would take a major catalyst to reverse the trend. Smart money is staying away.
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Market Confidence
LOW
Score: 16/100
$821K traded · Medium liquidity
Quick Stats
Days until resolution~7
Number of trades820
Total volume$821K
Liquidity$39K